This week’s latest eNCA election poll – just three weeks before the 3 August voting – shows the DA continuing to pull ahead of the ANC in Nelson Mandela Bay and Johannesburg, but the gap between the two parties is narrowing in Tshwane.
In Nelson Mandela Bay, the pattern in the fifth of the weekly polls continued, with the DA now at 42% and the ANC at 21%. With 16% undecided, this means that even in the unlikely event of the ANC winning all the undecided voters, the DA is still likely to be the biggest party. The critical question is whether the DA can win half of these undecided voters, which will give them control of the city. The EFF’s share of the vote in Nelson Mandela Bay also rose from last week’s 7% to 10% this week.
In Johannesburg, both the ANC and DA appeared to grow their votes by pulling support from the smaller parties. The ANC was, this week, at 31% (up form 30% last week) and the DA 36% ( up from 33% last week). With undecideds at 16%, this vote could still go either way. The EFF in Johannesburg moved down to 10% from 11% last week.In Tshwane, the ANC appeared to partly recover from the effects of last week’s violence in the area. Their support, having dropped last week to 23%, was back up to 26% this week, while the DA dropped from 42% to 39% and the EFF moved from 11% to 12%. With 16% still undecided in Tshwane, this vote could still go either way on election day.
This week’s shifts may reflect the fact that campaigns are now moving into top gear. The ANC’s President Jacob Zuma visited Tshwane, where the ANC percentage went up, and the DA’s Musi Maimane spent much of the week in Nelson Mandela Bay, where the DA share went up.
The poll* will be conducted weekly for eNCA until the August 3 and broadcast on eNCA (DStv channel 403) and eTV at 6.30pm every Thursday evening. Full details – including interactive charts of the results – are available atenca.com/elections2016